Publications

2021

Han, Samuel, Jennifer M Kolb, Patrick Hosokawa, Chloe Friedman, Charlie Fox, Frank I Scott, Christopher H Lieu, et al. (2021) 2021. “The Volume-Outcome Effect Calls for Centralization of Care in Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: Results From a Large National Cancer Registry.”. The American Journal of Gastroenterology 116 (4): 811-15. https://doi.org/10.14309/ajg.0000000000001046.

INTRODUCTION: Using the National Cancer Database, we assessed the relationship between facility overall esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) case volume and survival.

METHODS: We categorized facilities into volume quintiles based on annual EAC patient volume and performed a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression between facility patient volume and survival.

RESULTS: In a cohort of 116,675 patients, facilities with higher vs lower (≥25 vs 1-4 cases) annual EAC patient volume demonstrated improved survival (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.80. 95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.91).

DISCUSSION: This robust volume-outcome effect calls for centralization of care for EAC patients at high annual case volume facilities.

Vajravelu, Ravy K, Lawrence Copelovitch, and Michelle R Denburg. (2021) 2021. “Reply.”. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology : The Official Clinical Practice Journal of the American Gastroenterological Association 19 (9): 1994. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2020.11.031.
Han, Samuel, Jennifer M Kolb, Patrick Hosokawa, Chloe Friedman, Charlie Fox, Frank I Scott, Christopher H Lieu, et al. (2021) 2021. “The Volume-Outcome Effect Calls for Centralization of Care in Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: Results From a Large National Cancer Registry.”. The American Journal of Gastroenterology 116 (4): 811-15. https://doi.org/10.14309/ajg.0000000000001046.

INTRODUCTION: Using the National Cancer Database, we assessed the relationship between facility overall esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) case volume and survival.

METHODS: We categorized facilities into volume quintiles based on annual EAC patient volume and performed a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression between facility patient volume and survival.

RESULTS: In a cohort of 116,675 patients, facilities with higher vs lower (≥25 vs 1-4 cases) annual EAC patient volume demonstrated improved survival (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.80. 95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.91).

DISCUSSION: This robust volume-outcome effect calls for centralization of care for EAC patients at high annual case volume facilities.

Vajravelu, Ravy K, Lawrence Copelovitch, and Michelle R Denburg. (2021) 2021. “Reply.”. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology : The Official Clinical Practice Journal of the American Gastroenterological Association 19 (9): 1994. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2020.11.031.
Han, Samuel, Jennifer M Kolb, Patrick Hosokawa, Chloe Friedman, Charlie Fox, Frank I Scott, Christopher H Lieu, et al. (2021) 2021. “The Volume-Outcome Effect Calls for Centralization of Care in Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: Results From a Large National Cancer Registry.”. The American Journal of Gastroenterology 116 (4): 811-15. https://doi.org/10.14309/ajg.0000000000001046.

INTRODUCTION: Using the National Cancer Database, we assessed the relationship between facility overall esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) case volume and survival.

METHODS: We categorized facilities into volume quintiles based on annual EAC patient volume and performed a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression between facility patient volume and survival.

RESULTS: In a cohort of 116,675 patients, facilities with higher vs lower (≥25 vs 1-4 cases) annual EAC patient volume demonstrated improved survival (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.80. 95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.91).

DISCUSSION: This robust volume-outcome effect calls for centralization of care for EAC patients at high annual case volume facilities.

Vajravelu, Ravy K, Lawrence Copelovitch, and Michelle R Denburg. (2021) 2021. “Reply.”. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology : The Official Clinical Practice Journal of the American Gastroenterological Association 19 (9): 1994. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2020.11.031.
Han, Samuel, Jennifer M Kolb, Patrick Hosokawa, Chloe Friedman, Charlie Fox, Frank I Scott, Christopher H Lieu, et al. (2021) 2021. “The Volume-Outcome Effect Calls for Centralization of Care in Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: Results From a Large National Cancer Registry.”. The American Journal of Gastroenterology 116 (4): 811-15. https://doi.org/10.14309/ajg.0000000000001046.

INTRODUCTION: Using the National Cancer Database, we assessed the relationship between facility overall esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) case volume and survival.

METHODS: We categorized facilities into volume quintiles based on annual EAC patient volume and performed a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression between facility patient volume and survival.

RESULTS: In a cohort of 116,675 patients, facilities with higher vs lower (≥25 vs 1-4 cases) annual EAC patient volume demonstrated improved survival (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.80. 95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.91).

DISCUSSION: This robust volume-outcome effect calls for centralization of care for EAC patients at high annual case volume facilities.

Vajravelu, Ravy K, Lawrence Copelovitch, and Michelle R Denburg. (2021) 2021. “Reply.”. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology : The Official Clinical Practice Journal of the American Gastroenterological Association 19 (9): 1994. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2020.11.031.
Han, Samuel, Jennifer M Kolb, Patrick Hosokawa, Chloe Friedman, Charlie Fox, Frank I Scott, Christopher H Lieu, et al. (2021) 2021. “The Volume-Outcome Effect Calls for Centralization of Care in Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: Results From a Large National Cancer Registry.”. The American Journal of Gastroenterology 116 (4): 811-15. https://doi.org/10.14309/ajg.0000000000001046.

INTRODUCTION: Using the National Cancer Database, we assessed the relationship between facility overall esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) case volume and survival.

METHODS: We categorized facilities into volume quintiles based on annual EAC patient volume and performed a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression between facility patient volume and survival.

RESULTS: In a cohort of 116,675 patients, facilities with higher vs lower (≥25 vs 1-4 cases) annual EAC patient volume demonstrated improved survival (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.80. 95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.91).

DISCUSSION: This robust volume-outcome effect calls for centralization of care for EAC patients at high annual case volume facilities.

Scott, Frank I, Amneet K Hans, Mark E Gerich, Blair Fennimore, Ronac Mamtani, Ravy K Vajravelu, and James D Lewis. (2021) 2021. “Identification of the Most Effective Position for Ustekinumab in Treatment Algorithms for Crohn’s Disease.”. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology : The Official Clinical Practice Journal of the American Gastroenterological Association 19 (10): 2082-2092.e10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2020.08.021.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Ustekinumab is a monoclonal antibody against interleukin 12 and interleukin 23 that has been approved by the Food and Drug Administration for treatment of Crohn's disease (CD). We sought to identify the ideal position for ustekinumab in treatment algorithms for CD.

METHODS: We constructed a Markov model to identify an optimal treatment sequence for CD that included ustekinumab for 1 year or more. The base case was a 35-year old male with moderate to severe CD who had not previously received biologic or immunomodulator therapy. The standard of care treatment algorithm was defined as initial therapy with infliximab and azathioprine, followed by adalimumab and azathioprine, vedolizumab, and lastly surgical resection. The model assessed positions for ustekinumab before standard of care, ustekinumab after infliximab and azathioprine but before the remaining treatments, after infliximab, azathioprine, and adalimumab but before vedolizumab and surgery, or after the other biologics but before surgery. We derived transition probabilities and quality adjusted life years (QALYs) from relevant trials, observational studies, and time trade-off analyses. Primary analyses consisted of first order Monte Carlo simulation of 100 trials of cohorts of 100,000 individuals.

RESULTS: Ustekinumab as first-line therapy yielded the greatest QALYs (incremental effectiveness, 0.016-0.020 QALYs), resulting in 10% more patients in remission or response, and 2% fewer surgeries at 1 year, compared with other algorithms. The model was not sensitive to 25% variation in transition probabilities.

CONCLUSIONS: In a simulation based on a 35-year old male patient with moderate to severe CD, we found that ustekinumab as the first-line biologic therapy yields greater QALYs at the end of 1 year than compared with use later in the CD treatment algorithm.